Philosophy 693S:  Causation

Fall 2024

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Works on Causation by Kevin D. Hoover

      Philosophical, Methodological, and Historical

• "Long-Run Causal Order: A Preliminary Investigation," Economic Research Initiatives at Duke (ERID) Working Paper, 11 May 2018.
• "The Ontological Status of Shocks and Trends in Macroeconomics," Synthese 192(3), 2015, pp. 3509–3532. (DOI 10.1007/s11229-014-0503-5)
• "Identity, Structure, and Causal Representation in Scientific Models," in Hsiang-Ke Chao, Szu-Ting Chen, and Roberta Millstein, editors.  Towards the Methodological Turn in the Philosophy of Science: Mechanism and Causality in Biology and Economics, Dordrecht:  Springer, 2013, pp. 35-60.
• "Economic Theory and Causal Inference,"  Uskali Mäki, editor, Handbook of the Philosophy of Economics, volume 13 of Dov Gabbay, Paul Thagard, and John Woods, general editors.  Handbook of the Philosophy of Science. Amsterdam:  Elsevier/North-Holland, 2012, pp. 89-113.
• “Causal Structure and Hierarchies of Models,”  Studies in History and Philosophy of Biological and Biomedical Sciences 43(4), December 2012, pp. <{invalid_tag_id}>778-786 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.shpsc.2012.05.007.
• “Counterfactuals and Causal Structure,” in Phyllis McKay Illari, Federica Russo, and Jon Williamson, editors.  Causality in the Sciences.  Oxford University Press, 2011, pp. 338-360.
• "Causal Pluralism and the Limits of Causal Analysis:  A Review of Nancy Cartwright's Hunting Causes and Using Them: Approaches in Philosophy and Economics," in Ross B. Emmett and Jeff E. Biddle, editors.  Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology, Volume 28A, 2010, pp. 381-395.
• "Probability and Structure in Econometric Models" in Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science:  Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Congress.  London:  College Publications, 2009, pp. 497-513.
• "Milton Friedman’s Stance:  The Methodology of Causal Realism," in Uskali Mäki, editor, The Methodology of Positive Economics: Milton Friedman’s Essay Fifty Years Later.  Cambridge:  Cambridge University Press, 2009, pp. 303-320.
• "Review of Nancy Cartwright's Hunting Causes and Using Them:  Approaches in Philosophy and Economics," Journal of Economic Literature 47(2), June 2009, pp. 493-495.
• "Causality in Economics and Econometrics," in Steven N. Durlauf and Lawrence E. Blume, editors, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition, Palgrave Macmillan, 2008. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics Online. <http://www.dictionaryofeconomics.com/article?id=pde2008_C000569>
  doi:10.1057/9780230226203.0209
• "Lost Causes," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 26(2), 2004, pp. 149-164.
• "Nonstationary Time Series, Cointegration, and the Principle of the Common Cause,"   British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 54(4), pp. 527-551, 2003.
• "Measuring Causes:  Episodes in the Quantitative Assessment of the Value of Money,"  History of Political Economy, 33 (Annual Supplement), 2002, pp 137-161. Coauthor:  Michael Dowell.
• Causality in Macroeconomics .  Cambridge University Press, 2001.
• The Methodology of Empirical Macroeconomics .  Cambridge University Press, 2001.
• “Econometrics as Observation: The Lucas Critique, Causality and the Nature of Econometric Inference,” Journal of Economic Methodology, June 1994. Reprinted in Daniel M. Hausman, editor. The Philosophy of Economics, 3rd. ed. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008.
• "Causality and Temporal Order in Macroeconomics or Why Even Economists Don't Know How to Get Causes from Probabilities,"  British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 44(4), December 1993, 693- 710.

 

       Causality in Applied Economics

      

• "Still Puzzling:  Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression," Empirical Economics 46(2), March 2014, 701-731 . Coauthors:  Selva Demiralp and Stephen J. Perez.
• "Empirical Identification of the Vector Autoregression:  The Causes and Effects of U.S. M2," in Jennifer L. Castle and Neil N. Shephard, editors, The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics: A Festschrift in Honour of David F. Hendry.  Oxford:  Oxford University Press, 2009, pp. 37-58.
  
• "A Bootstrap Method for Identifying and Evaluating a Structural Vector Autoregression", Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 70(4), 2008, 509-533. Coauthors:  Selva Demiralp and Stephen J. Perez.
• "Automatic Inference of the Contemporaneous Causal Order of a System of Equations," Econometric Theory, 21(1), 2005, pp. 69-77.
• "Truth and Robustness in Cross-country Growth Regressions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 66(5), 2004, pp. 765-798.  Coauthor:  Stephen J. Perez.   
  
• "Searching for the Causal Structure of a Vector Autoregression," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 65(supplement), 2003, pp. 745-767. Coauthor:  Selva Demiralp.
• “Some Causal Lessons from Macroeconomics,” Journal of Econometrics, 2003.
• "Taxing and Spending in the Long View:  The Causal Structure of U.S. Fiscal Policy After 1791," Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 52, no. 4, December 2000,  pp. 745-773.  Coauthor:  Mark V. Siegler.
• "Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc:  An Evaluation of 'Does Monetary Policy Matter?' in the Spirt of James Tobin," Journal of Monetary Economics 34(1), 1994, pp. 47-73. Coauthor:  Stephen J. Perez.
  A rejoinder to Christina and David Romer's reply to this paper:  "Money May Matter, But How Could You Know?"Journal of Monetary Economics 34(1), 1994, pp. 89-99. Coauthor:  Stephen J. Perez.  
• "Causation,Spending, and Taxes:  Sand in the Sandbox or Tax Collector for the Welfare State?" American Economic Review 82(1), March 1992, pp. 225-248.  Coauthor: Steven Sheffrin.
• “The Causal Direction Between Money and Prices: An Alternative Approach,” Journal of Monetary Economics, June 1991.